Baseball gambling line
January 28th MLB news ... Baseball gambling line was created to provide the baseball gambling bettor with the necessary tools to score a profit throughout the summer months.
Welcome to baseballgamblingline.com, the site with everything you need if you bet on baseball.
This site was created to provide the baseball bettor with the necessary tools to score a profit throughout the summer months.
Whether you are looking for the pitching match-ups or the latest betting lines, you will be able to find all of that information and more right here.
MLB News
MLB: Giants, Pads and Braves eye two playoff spots
2010-10-02
With their sweep of the Arizona D-Backs, the San Francisco Giants now have a three game lead in the NL West on the San Diego Padres. Coincidentally enough, the Giants host the Pads for a three game series starting tonight. Sportsbook.com currently has the Giants as -155 favorites to win tonight.
The Giants need to win just one game to clinch the division. San Diego dropped three-of-four to the Cubs to find itself in this precarious position. The Padres are two games back of Atlanta for the Wild Card. The Braves close out the year with a three-game series against NL East leading Philadelphia Phillies at Turner Field.
It’s been seven years since the Giants have won the NL West and they hope to clinch Friday night when they send Matt Cain (13-10, 2.95 ERA) to the mound against Clayton Richard (13-9, 3.71 ERA). Cain has been phenomenal lately with a 2-0 record and a 0.82 ERA over his past three starts. It’s been the complete opposite for Richard, who is just 1-2 with a 7.41 ERA over his last three outings. No wonder 73% of Sportsbook.com’s bettors are on the Giants tonight.
The Padres have gotten the better of San Francisco so far this season, going 10-5 against the Giants including a 5-1 mark at AT&T Park. These teams usually combine for low-scoring affairs as the under has cashed in 10 of their meetings so far this year. Tim Stauffer (5-5, 1.89 ERA) gets the call for the Padres on Saturday against Barry Zito (9-13, 4.08 ERA), while Mat Latos (14-9, 2.82 ERA) and Jonathan Sanchez (12-9, 3.15 ERA) are scheduled to close out the year on Sunday.
The following baseball betting trends support a Giants NL West clinch tonight:
SAN FRANCISCO is 44-24 (+16.3 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season. The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 4.7, OPPONENT 3.3 - (Rating = 2*).
SAN FRANCISCO is 28-9 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in home games vs. a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of its save opportunities over the last 2 seasons. The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 5.0, OPPONENT 3.1 - (Rating = 2*) .
SAN FRANCISCO is 50-30 (+17.7 Units) against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season this season. The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 4.4, OPPONENT 3.4 - (Rating = 2*) .
Meanwhile, over in the East, the Braves look to shore up the Wild Card with Brandon Beachy (0-1, 2.89 ERA) on the mound Friday night. He’ll be opposed by Kyle Kendrick (10-10, 4.76 ERA) for Philadelphia. The Braves have a two-game lead on the Padres and Atlanta’s magic number to clinch the Wild Card is two. Sportsbook.com has the Braves at -155 chalk.
Philadelphia has already locked up home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. Atlanta enters the series after sweeping the Marlins in a three-game set. Philadelphia comes in after taking two-of-three from the Nationals. The Phillies lead the season series over the Braves 8-7. Atlanta has won four of the six games played at Turner Field this year. Saturday’s probable starters are Cole Hamels (12-11, 3.09 ERA) and Tommy Hanson (10-11, 3.41 ERA). Vance Worley (1-1, 2.25 ERA) and Tim Hudson (16-9, 2.76 ERA) are scheduled to go on Sunday.
Considering that Philly has little to play for in addition to the following MLB betting trends, Sportsbook.com is expecting bettors to back the Braves all weekend long.
ATLANTA is 54-23 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in home games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season. The average score was ATLANTA 4.8, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 2*).
ATLANTA is 14-3 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. The average score was ATLANTA 4.9, OPPONENT 2.9 - (Rating = 1*) .
ATLANTA is 56-24 (+18.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season. The average score was ATLANTA 4.8, OPPONENT 3.4 - (Rating = 2*).
MLB: Handicapping deck stacked against Boston?
2010-07-05
The Red Sox and Rays are both nipping at the heels of the A.L. East-leading Yankees, each within 2-games of the top spot. Boston currently leads the wildcard race by a half-game. It goes without saying that the teams will open a meaningful series on Monday night at 7:10 PM ET in Tampa. The Rays are -140 favorites according to Sportsbook.com but that could end up being much higher when bettors get their hands on some powerful systems and trends backing the hosts.
One of the first things I like to consider is the status of the bullpens. We all know that betting lines are predicated first and foremost on starting pitching. It is for that reason that line value can be pulled from less obvious factors. Note that despite the 5-2 record in their last seven games, the Red Sox bullpen has been awful during the stretch, with an ERA of 8.15. At the same time, the Rays are only 4-3 in their L7 games, but their relief staff has been stellar, with a 0.962 WHIP during the stretch. That difference sets up for a very strong system for tonight:
• Play Against - Road underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 (BOSTON) - with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 7.00 the last 10 games against opponent with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.200 the last 10 games. (69-27 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.9%, +34.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The other thing that stands out to me is the drastic differential in home/road dichotomy between these teams. In fact, there are two angles so powerful on each side of the coin that there seems to be only one way to bet tonight’s game. Take a look.
• BOSTON was 3-17 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of last season. The average score was BOSTON 3.0, OPPONENT 5.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TAMPA BAY is 46-20 (+22.5 Units) against the money line in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. The average score was TAMPA BAY 5.2, OPPONENT 3.8 - (Rating = 1*)
That first angle is actually quite shocking. With Boston having played its 82nd game yesterday, we are now officially into the second half of the season. Unless something changes in 2010, this angle could have a profound effect on Boston’s playoff chances. The Sox face potentially 11 different series’ the rest of the way against winning teams on the road, including two each at both Tampa and New York.
Tampa Bay is convinced the recent swoon is finally behind them. The Rays, who struggled for more than a month after racing to a 32-12 start, enters this seven-game homestand on an upswing after taking three of four from Minnesota, capped by Sunday's 7-4 victory.
Boston, which begins a six-game road swing with this contest, was denied a sweep of last-place Baltimore on Sunday with a 6-1 defeat.
Boston’s Daisuke Matsuzaka (5-3, 4.50 ERA) gets his second crack at Matt Garza (9-5, 4.08) and the Rays in five days. The right-hander has struggled with his control since coming off the disabled list due to a strained forearm, walking eight in 11 innings over two starts.
He lasted six innings versus Garza on Wednesday, giving up three runs and four hits with four walks in a 9-4 defeat. Matsuzaka is 2-5 with a 4.10 ERA in 10 starts against the Rays, but did get a victory in his most recent outing at Tampa Bay in 2008.
Garza appears to be finding his groove as he tries to become Tampa Bay's second 10-game winner along with David Price. He yielded three runs in seven-plus innings against the Red Sox for his fourth win in five starts.
The right-hander is 2-1 in three starts versus Boston this season, with the loss coming at home May 26. Garza is 7-3 with a 3.40 ERA in 15 career starts against the Red Sox.
The StatFox Power Line indicates that the Rays are slightly overpriced, indicating that they should be a favorite of only -124.
MLB: Interleague Weekend Matchups & Trends 5/21-5/23
2010-05-21
It was 1997 when Interleague play began in Major League Baseball. Game traditionalists still bristle when they hear the term, but you have to give credit to commissioner Bud Selig for leading the noteworthy change. While the A.L. continues to seemingly pound its N.L. counterpart year-after year, the break in the regular monotony of the schedule is always much anticipated. Besides that, most of the Interleague matchups are of the regional rivalry variety, spicing up the game that much more in the months of May & June. Well, the first set of Interleague games is on tap for this weekend. Let’s take a look at a top StatFox Power Trend for each of the 15 series that you’ll want to consider in your weekend wagering.
In the previous 13 seasons, the AL has won the season series nine times compared to four for the NL and those from the junior circuit have won the last six in a row, proving their dominance.
The National League actually narrowed the gap last season with 114-138 record, which was better than 2008 when they were 103-149. Where everyone started to take notice of the disparity between the two leagues was 2006. After the AL had won the two previous years 262-241, they hammered the NL 154-98.
National League apologists will blame the designated hitter, more favorable matchups for their counterparts or the weather, but the fact remains over the last six years they are 671-840, .440 win percentage.
Since 2005, the NL has three teams with winning records, Colorado (45-37), Florida (43-41) and St. Louis (43-41). Only the first two have shown a profit to sports bettors (the Cardinals are -0- ), though Washington’s 43-47 mark has yielded +10.91 units of profit, primarily as underdog. Over the last five seasons, a NL diehard would have had to file for bankruptcy on straight bets, losing -160.12 units.
The Detroit Tigers are 37-17 (+17.6) against the NL and they’ve put together such a fine record primarily because of offense, being second in scoring (5.4 runs per game) and batting average (.294).
It will be worth watching to see the Los Angeles Angels perform. They have been among the top teams in the majors the last few seasons and that is also reflected in top interleague record of 38-16 (+18.6). With neither the hitting nor pitching up to previous standards, will that show in the Halos record vs. the National League this time around?
Boston and Minnesota have been padding their records for years against the NL and are financially dependable, with the Red Sox 38-20 (+9) and Twins 37-17 (+17.35). Minnesota pitching has really locked down NL hitters, with them totaling 3.3 RPG.
One AL club that has been under the radar is Kansas City with their 31-23 record (+11). The Royals could do some damage against the Rockies at home, having won six of eight and averaging double digit hits in that span.
The San Diego Padres are one of gigantic surprises of the 2010 season, being in first place in the NL West. If the Padres have aspirations of staying in that same location, they have to clean up their act versus the AL. The Friars might need prayers to improve baseball’s most putrid interleague record at 14-34.
One of the most befuddling NL teams when it comes to interleague action is the Los Angeles Dodgers (19-29, -12.25). Granted, part of their failures have come at the hands of the team down the road in Anaheim, nonetheless they have been a consistent loser for some time and enter this year’s foray playing well, but without all of their offensive weapons.
The one ray of sunshine for the NL has been the Cleveland Indians at 20-34 (-24.2). This year a few teams from the NL East, Pittsburgh and in-state rival Cincinnati will be able to take their shots against a team that is far removed from almost being in the World Series just a few seasons ago.
Now, here are some Top StatFox Power Trends for you to consider this weekend.
<b><i>ATLANTA at PITTSBURGH</b></i>
<li>PITTSBURGH is 13-45 (-32.7 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. The average score was PITTSBURGH 3.2, OPPONENT 5.7 - (Rating = 4*)
<b><i>CINCINNATI at CLEVELAND</b></i>
<li>CLEVELAND is 8-19 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in home games vs. a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse over the last 2 seasons. The average score was CLEVELAND 3.6, OPPONENT 4.8 - (Rating = 1*)
<b><i>BOSTON at PHILADELPHIA</b></i>
<li>PHILADELPHIA is 28-13 UNDER (+13.3 Units) at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. The average score was PHILADELPHIA 4.3, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 1*)
<b><i>BALTIMORE at WASHINGTON</b></i>
<li>WASHINGTON is 29-14 (+17.0 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse since 1997. The average score was WASHINGTON 4.4, OPPONENT 3.7 - (Rating = 1*)
<b><i>NY YANKEES at NY METS</b></i>
<li>NY METS are 17-33 (-18.8 Units) against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. The average score was NY METS 4.2, OPPONENT 5.4 - (Rating = 1*)
<b><i>TAMPA BAY at HOUSTON</b></i>
<li>TAMPA BAY is 20-5 (+11.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. The average score was TAMPA BAY 5.6, OPPONENT 2.3 - (Rating = 1*)
<b><i>CHICAGO CUBS at TEXAS</b></i>
<li>CHICAGO CUBS are 9-25 (-16.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons. The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 3.4, OPPONENT 5.1 - (Rating = 2*)
<b><i>FLORIDA at CHI WHITE SOX</b></i>
<li>FLORIDA is 30-18 (+11.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. The average score was FLORIDA 5.1, OPPONENT 3.7 - (Rating = 1*)
<b><i>COLORADO at KANSAS CITY</b></i>
<li>KANSAS CITY is 14-25 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. The average score was KANSAS CITY 4.6, OPPONENT 5.6 - (Rating = 1*)
<b><i>MILWAUKEE at MINNESOTA</b></i>
<li>MINNESOTA is 28-13 (+21.0 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage of .340 or better since 1997. The average score was MINNESOTA 5.2, OPPONENT 3.9 - (Rating = 2*)
<b><i>LA ANGELS at ST LOUIS</b></i>
<li>ST LOUIS is 37-16 UNDER (+18.9 Units) vs. a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse over the last 2 seasons. The average score was ST LOUIS 4.0, OPPONENT 3.6 - (Rating = 2*)
<b><i>TORONTO at ARIZONA</b></i>
<li>ARIZONA is 38-62 (-24.3 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. The average score was ARIZONA 4.4, OPPONENT 5.4 - (Rating = 1*)
<b><i>SAN FRANCISCO at OAKLAND</b></i>
<li>SAN FRANCISCO is 52-32 UNDER (+15.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 4.1, OPPONENT 3.4 - (Rating = 1*)
<b><i>DETROIT at LA DODGERS</b></i>
<li>LA DODGERS are 37-16 (+19.0 Units) against the money line vs. a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 or better over the last 2 seasons. The average score was LA DODGERS 5.2, OPPONENT 3.7 - (Rating = 1*)
<b><i>SAN DIEGO at SEATTLE</b></i>
<li>SEATTLE is 27-10 UNDER (+15.6 Units) vs. a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better over the last 3 seasons. The average score was SEATTLE 3.5, OPPONENT 3.9 - (Rating = 2*)
MLB: Fun side action watching the All-Star game
2009-07-16
Of the various All-Star games, baseball’s is the best since the game is still in its purest form compared to the others. Basketball and hockey are defenseless matches designed for entertainment and football, not really sure what that even is having special rules. Baseball is about pitching and hitting, just like it is for 162 games each team will play, just with the sports brightest stars. The mid-summer classic is slated for Tuesday in St. Louis, and Sportbook will have a vast array of betting options to enhance your enjoyment of the action.
Major League Baseball’s midsummer classic has had unusual runs of domination during its previous 79 conflicts. Starting in 1950, the National League dominated the action, winning 33 of 40 games played, with one tie. Though the American League has not approached that length of time dominance, they have controlled the action for an extended period, with 11-0-1 mark since 1997.
Sportsbook.com has the junior circuit as -115 money line favorite, which seems like a reasonable wager given recent history. In reviewing the two All-Star starting lineups, the American League has more balance, in terms of creating base hits and power, while the National League is lagging in the power department in the lower portion of the lineup.
Both Tim Lincecum and Roy Halladay are capable of total domination, though Halladay has not won in last four decisions and could be on the move from Toronto before the end of the month.
The total of Ov5 is very inviting wager, as only five of last 18 All-Star games have matched or gone below that figure. Chances are the action would come a little later as visibility could be issue with game starting in the 7:00 PM hour St. Louis time, which is before the lights really take affect.
Given the fact oddsmakers have listed a total of five, the wager of Under 29.5 for total hits, runs and errors is possible wager, which is further enhanced with no Dan Uggla to kick around the horsehide and adding unnecessary numbers with errors like last year’s version.
Though Hanley Ramirez is brilliant talent, Ichiro Suzuki has always made this a personal battle, and his pre-game comments are legendary in the American League locker room, both for intensity and hilarity, trying to find the right English words to convey his enthusiasm and desire for winning. At -115 for total hits and runs over Ramirez, why not.
Because of the time of day, betting NO on runs scored in the first inning appears to be solid wager. Lincecum’s hard stuff and big breaking balls should keep American League hitters off-balance and Halladay has enough experience to not let Albert Pujols beat him in revved up ballpark, cheering for their hometown hero. Did you notice how Pujols seemed oddly nervous during Home Run Derby, multiple deep breaths, something you almost never see out of the Cards slugger?
There are several more props to consider and checking with several sportsbooks, baseball easily draws the most wagering action of any All-Star contest. Enjoy the game.
Betting Baseball with the Right Numbers
2009-05-15
Over the last couple of decades, intelligent baseball fans have moved away from the rudimentary statistics to more thought-provoking and useful numbers. The ideas of batting average and earned run average telling the whole story just isn’t true anymore and we moved ahead to more sophisticated methods of measuring performance.
From the batting perspective, one commonly seen on television and heard on radio broadcasts is on-base percentage. Some may wonder how an on-base percentage is calculated. Be sure to check the latest info by visiting the LIVE ODDS, BETTING TRENDS, and TEAM STATISTICS pages.
You add together hits, walks and hit by pitch and divide that by at bats, walks, hit by pitch and sacrifice flies.
What we learn from on-base percentage is the hitting value of the player to the team. For example, Ted Williams hold the all-time record for OBP for career at .481. Second is Babe Ruth at .474 and others in the top 10 includes Lou Gehrig, Barry Bonds, Rogers Hornsby and Ty Cobb. In the top 15 all-time are a couple of modern day players, Todd Helton and Albert Pujols.
Why is OBP valuable to sports bettors?
Start with the fact the easiest way to score runs is having men on base. Former Baltimore Orioles manager Earl Weaver said the best offense play in the game was a three-run homer and while you can’t argue with his logic, two players had to get on base for that to occur. Many of the all-time great pitchers gave up 20 or more home runs a year, even into the 30’s, but they limited damage by having them be solo shots.
On-base percentage means players are willing to help the team. These hitters will take walks, adding to hurlers pitch counts, and play the game the right way, by hitting to opposite field if pitcher works the outside corner continually or with two strikes.
A quick review of the top five teams in Major League baseball for OBP looks like this.
L.A. Dodgers .374
N.Y. Mets .369
Boston .366
Washington .361 (see pitching numbers)
Toronto .359
Three of these teams are in first place in their respective divisions and the Red Sox are right on the heels of the Blue Jays. Though Manny Ramirez is suspended, his work ethic and attention to detail has rubbed off on his Dodgers teammates. The Mets have been more patient at the dish and are 5th in walks. Boston is just being Boston and Toronto manager Cito Gaston has convinced his team to be more aggressive at the plate, yet be selective at what you swing at. After having doubts, maybe Nationals third-sacker Ryan Zimmerman is correct is saying “….we’re better than our record shows”, however allowing six runs per game puts a great deal of pressure on any offense.
Another aspect to think about is what a quality OBP does to opposing teams pitching staff. The pitch count aspect has already been mentioned for starting pitchers, which transcends into more innings for bullpens. This is an area that is a moving target for many teams from year to year, as teams feel compelled to pay everyday ball players more and will let go of effective reliever over cost concerns.
Drilling down, we find only 10 teams have a bullpen ERA of less than 3.80, suggesting batters going to the plate with an idea to execute could see tasty deliveries coming their way.
Reviewing the other end of the spectrum here are the five worst teams in OBP.
Seattle .307
Arizona .307
San Francisco .314
Oakland .314
San Diego .314
Two of the five clubs are in the bottom five for walks (Mariners and Giants). Only San Francisco has a record above .500, but that has been due to superior starting pitching, led by Tim Lincecum, Matt Cain and the possible revitalization of Barry Zito. It would be rare to see Seattle, Oakland and San Diego at the top of this list anyways, since they play in parks conducive to pitching. Nevertheless, all these teams lack talented hitters and the ones on the active roster go up to the plate just hacking, making them easy fodder for pitchers that can hit the right spots.
Arizona is the biggest disgrace, since the core players on the team should be approaching best years. The Snakes have to tie their shoes extra tight, because they swing so hard trying to jack everything over the fence. To this point, the D-Backs hitters have shown no adaptability to wanting to improve and strike out or hit lazy pop-ups and fly balls.
Winning against those setting the line is never easy, but utilizing tools like on-base percentage can keep you in the black.
MLB: Top MLB Weekend Power Trends
2008-09-05
After the conclusion of this weekend’s baseball action, there will be just three full weeks left in the regular season. At this point though, only the Angels are in a position comfortable enough to start thinking about the playoffs. The rest of the contenders have to focus on the task at hand, and that starts with this weekend’s matchups. The slate is loaded with key series’, highlighted by the showdowns between divisional frontrunners in both the N.L.’s East & West Divisions. The junior circuit also has some big games this weekend. Here’s a closer look at the action, along with a Top StatFox Power Trend that might affect the results of each series.
In the N.L. East Division, Philadelphia and the Mets are separated by three games, with the latter holding the top spot. New York has home field advantage this weekend as well. The full margin of separation has come in the last eight games, as Philly has dropped five of its last eight, while the Mets have gone 6-2 in that stretch. This will be the last head-to-head matchup between the teams this season, with New York holding a 10-5 edge so far in ’08.
Out West, the Dodgers and DBacks will also get together for the last time in the 2008 season. Los Angeles has managed to rebound from its 8-game losing skid last week to win its last five, coming to within 1-1/2 games of the lead in the divisional standings. Arizona meanwhile, has gone just 3-7 in its L10 games. If recent head-to-head play is any indication, the edge goes to Joe Torre’s Dodgers, as they’ve won four of the last five games. The over has converted in the last four games.
In the American League, Tampa Bay starts a big road trip that includes stops in Toronto, Boston, and New York. The Rays are in a decent position to qualify for the postseason but surely they’d love to hold off the Red Sox for the East Division crown. Historically though, they have struggled to an 11-43 record on the road against teams yielding 4.2 or less runs per game so this weekend’s series in Toronto will be tough. Elsewhere, Minnesota returns home from its 14-game road trip to host Detroit. The Twins, despite going just 5-9 on the trip, managed to stay within 1-1/2 games of the White Sox in the Central Division. With Chicago hosting the Angels this weekend, the Twins could be in a position to pick up some ground over the next few days.
There’s certainly a lot of key baseball to be found this weekend. Be sure to stay on top of the latest info on the Game Matchups pages. Don’t forget about these Top StatFox Power Trends to consider as well…
PHILADELPHIA at NY METS
PHILADELPHIA is 15-21 (-12.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 4.5, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 1*)
CHICAGO CUBS at CINCINNATI
CINCINNATI is 24-10 UNDER (+12.6 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.
The average score was CINCINNATI 3.8, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 2*)
WASHINGTON at ATLANTA
ATLANTA is 18-27 (-16.2 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.8 or more runs/game on the season this season.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.5, OPPONENT 4.8 - (Rating = 2*)
SAN DIEGO at MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 24-4 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 5.9, OPPONENT 2.6 - (Rating = 2*)
FLORIDA at ST LOUIS
FLORIDA is 17-40 (-18.7 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .275 or better over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was FLORIDA 3.9, OPPONENT 6.0 - (Rating = 1*)
HOUSTON at COLORADO
COLORADO is 52-32 (+27.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was COLORADO 5.7, OPPONENT 4.7 - (Rating = 2*)
PITTSBURGH at SAN FRANCISCO
PITTSBURGH is 11-4 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 6.7, OPPONENT 4.5 - (Rating = 1*)
ARIZONA at LA DODGERS
ARIZONA is 32-15 OVER (+16.5 Units) vs. a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season.
The average score was ARIZONA 5.0, OPPONENT 4.9 - (Rating = 3*)
OAKLAND at BALTIMORE
BALTIMORE is 28-11 OVER (+16.7 Units) vs. AL teams allowing 4.7 or less runs/game in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was BALTIMORE 5.4, OPPONENT 6.8 - (Rating = 3*)
TAMPA BAY at TORONTO
TAMPA BAY is 11-43 (-26.3 Units) against the money line in road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.7 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 3.6, OPPONENT 5.9 - (Rating = 2*)
BOSTON at TEXAS
BOSTON is 53-19 (+26.0 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 6.2, OPPONENT 3.7 - (Rating = 2*)
DETROIT at MINNESOTA
DETROIT is 11-26 (-18.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season.
The average score was DETROIT 3.6, OPPONENT 5.5 - (Rating = 3*)
CLEVELAND at KANSAS CITY
KANSAS CITY is 6-18 (-12.0 Units) against the money line vs. a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse this season.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 4.0, OPPONENT 6.0 - (Rating = 1*)
LA ANGELS at CHI WHITE SOX
LA ANGELS are 31-11 (+21.4 Units) against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.
The average score was LA ANGELS 4.9, OPPONENT 3.9 - (Rating = 4*)
NY YANKEES at SEATTLE
NY YANKEES are 13-21 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in road games vs. AL teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season this season.
The average score was NY YANKEES 3.7, OPPONENT 4.9 - (Rating = 1*)
Top Baseball Weekend Trends
2008-07-14
This weekend closes the book on the unofficial first half of the season in both the National and American Leagues and every major league team wants to finish on an upbeat note. Here is a look at the Top Trends in baseball this upcoming weekend and how they might impact the races in both leagues. We’ll start by seeing what is happening in the senior circuit.
The New York Mets have quietly gotten back into the NL East race, winning six games in a row, to pull within 1.5 games of front-running Philadelphia. The Chicago Cubs and Milwaukee Brewers have taken it upon themselves this week to raise the stakes and neither can afford any slip-ups this weekend, either trying to build or shorten the lead in the NL Central. The Los Angeles Dodgers lost a game to second place Florida to start four game series and will need to keep pace with Arizona who is in the City of Brotherly Love, after squeaking by Washington.
In the American League, Tampa Bay is facing some real adversity for the first time in 2008 having lost four in a row. The conditions are hardly ripe for a quick turnaround for the Rays, who are 3-27 in July road games the last three years and have had a devil of a time in Cleveland, with nine losses in a row and counting. Baltimore has lost five straight and heads to Fenway Park, not exactly a place to get well. Detroit’s trying to get back into AL Central race and can’t afford another loss to Minnesota if their hopes are to be realized. Oakland will have a chance to narrow the gap in the AL West, facing heated rival Los Angeles, who has the best road record in baseball at 29-17, up +11.9 units.
Here are the top trends that should be in play for most of the games this weekend from a variety of series:
Arizona at Philadelphia
ARIZONA is 1-12 (-12.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) this season.
The average score was ARIZONA 2.6, OPPONENT 5.8 - (Rating = 4*)
Baltimore at Boston
BOSTON is 27-6 (+17 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season.
The average score was BOSTON 5.5, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 3*)
San Francisco at Chicago Cubs
CHICAGO CUBS are 24-6 (+15.8 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 6.5, OPPONENT 4 - (Rating = 3*)
Minnesota at Detroit
MINNESOTA is 9-0 (+10.6 Units) against the money line with an on base percentage of .393 or better over their last 3 games this season.
The average score was MINNESOTA 6.7, OPPONENT 2.4 - (Rating = 3*)
Colorado at N.Y. Mets
NY METS are 14-24 (-20.7 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season.
The average score was NY METS 4.4, OPPONENT 4.7 - (Rating = 3*)
L.A. Angels at Oakland
LA ANGELS are 21-6 (+13.7 Units) against the money line after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season.
The average score was LA ANGELS 4.9, OPPONENT 3.4 - (Rating = 3*)
Florida at L.A. Dodgers
FLORIDA is 20-2 OVER (+18.3 Units) vs. terrible power teams - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game this season.
The average score was FLORIDA 5.5, OPPONENT 5.4 - (Rating = 6*)
Atlanta at San Diego
ATLANTA is 23-3 UNDER (+19.6 Units) as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season.
The average score was ATLANTA 3.3, OPPONENT 3 - (Rating = 6*)
Chicago White Sox at Texas
TEXAS is 19-3 OVER (+16.4 Units) against AL Central opponents this season.
The average score was TEXAS 6.8, OPPONENT 7.3 - (Rating = 5*)
Make Sportsbook.com your #1 source for all your Major League baseball wagering needs and don’t forget about all the exciting props available for next week’s All-Star Game from New York.